C1251 字1:43新闻报道美国腔发布于 2026年5月31日 · 更新于 2026年5月31日

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Gas Usage Has Peaked Across Australia and Entered Structural Decline, Report Warns

报告警告：澳大利亚全境的天然气使用量已达巅峰，并进入结构性衰退

Following more than fifty years of sustained growth, gas usage across Australia has peaked in every sector and entered what the Grattan Institute describes as a structural decline.

在经历了五十多年持续增长之后，澳大利亚各个领域的天然气使用量均已达到顶峰，并进入了格拉坦研究所所描述的结构性衰退。

The influential thinktank's latest report revealed that residential consumption reached its highest point in 2020, while gas-fired electricity generation has fallen by eleven percent since 2014.

这家具影响力的智库最新报告显示，住宅用气量在 2020 年达到最高点，而燃气发电量自 2014 年以来已下降了 11%。

Furthermore, manufacturing demand has been contracting since the early 2000s, and liquefied natural gas exports appear to have peaked in 2022.

此外，制造业需求自 2000 年代初期以来一直在萎缩，且液化天然气出口似乎已在 2022 年达到顶峰。

Alison Reeve, director of the institute's Energy and Climate Change program, emphasized that the trajectory was irreversible.

格拉坦研究所能源与气候变化项目的主任艾莉森·里夫强调，这种轨迹是不可逆转的。

"Gas is now in structural decline across Australia," she argued.

“天然气现在在全澳大利亚正处于结构性衰退，”她主张道。

"There is only one direction from a peak, and that is downward."

“巅峰之后只有一个方向，那就是向下。”

Nevertheless, the Grattan Institute cautioned that the current pace of reduction would be insufficient to meet net zero targets.

尽管如此，格拉坦研究所警告说，目前的减排速度将不足以达成净零排放目标。

Without deliberate policy intervention, the country risks becoming dependent on costly carbon capture technologies.

若缺乏刻意的政策干预，该国将面临依赖昂贵碳捕捉技术的风险。

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The report's findings stand in stark contrast to recent political rhetoric.

该报告的调查结果与近期的政治辞令形成鲜明对比。

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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has announced plans to reserve greater volumes of gas for domestic consumption, and the government has been encouraging further exploration in Victoria and Tasmania.

总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯已宣布计划保留更大数量的天然气供国内消费，且政府一直以来都在鼓励在维多利亚州和塔斯马尼亚州进行进一步的勘探。

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Treasury modelling released last year projected that the combined value of coal and gas exports would likely halve within five years as global demand for fossil fuels decelerates.

财政部去年发布的模型预测，随着全球对化石燃料的需求放缓，煤炭和天然气出口的总价值可能会在五年内减半。

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Were the government to align its policy with these projections, the Grattan Institute argued, Australia could accelerate its transition toward cleaner energy sources more effectively.

格拉坦研究所主张，如果政府将其政策与这些预测保持一致，澳大利亚就能更有效地加速向更清洁能源的转型。

Gas usage has peaked and is now in structural decline across Australia, report says报告：澳大利亚天然气使用量已达顶峰，现呈结构性下降趋势

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