C1251 字1:43新聞報導美國腔發布於 2026年5月31日 · 更新於 2026年5月31日

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Gas Usage Has Peaked Across Australia and Entered Structural Decline, Report Warns

報告警告：澳洲全境的瓦斯使用量已達巔峰，並進入結構性衰退

Following more than fifty years of sustained growth, gas usage across Australia has peaked in every sector and entered what the Grattan Institute describes as a structural decline.

在經歷了五十多年持續增長之後，澳洲各個領域的天然氣使用量均已達到頂峰，並進入了格拉坦研究所所描述的結構性衰退。

The influential thinktank's latest report revealed that residential consumption reached its highest point in 2020, while gas-fired electricity generation has fallen by eleven percent since 2014.

這間具影響力的智庫最新報告顯示，住宅用氣量在 2020 年達到最高點，而燃氣發電量自 2014 年以來已下降了 11%。

Furthermore, manufacturing demand has been contracting since the early 2000s, and liquefied natural gas exports appear to have peaked in 2022.

此外，製造業需求自 2000 年代初期以來一直在萎縮，且液化天然氣出口似乎已在 2022 年達到頂峰。

Alison Reeve, director of the institute's Energy and Climate Change program, emphasized that the trajectory was irreversible.

格拉坦研究所能源與氣候變遷計畫的主任艾莉森·里夫強調，這樣的趨勢是不可逆轉的。

"Gas is now in structural decline across Australia," she argued.

「天然氣現在在全澳洲正處於結構性衰退，」她主張道。

"There is only one direction from a peak, and that is downward."

「從巔峰之後只有一個方向，那就是向下。」

Nevertheless, the Grattan Institute cautioned that the current pace of reduction would be insufficient to meet net zero targets.

儘管如此，格拉坦研究所警告說，目前的減排速度將不足以達成淨零排放目標。

Without deliberate policy intervention, the country risks becoming dependent on costly carbon capture technologies.

若缺乏刻意的政策干預，該國將面臨依賴昂貴碳捕捉技術的風險。

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The report's findings stand in stark contrast to recent political rhetoric.

該報告的調查結果與近期的政治辭令形成鮮明對比。

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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has announced plans to reserve greater volumes of gas for domestic consumption, and the government has been encouraging further exploration in Victoria and Tasmania.

總理安東尼·艾班尼斯已宣布計劃保留更大數量的天然氣供國內消費，且政府一直以來都在鼓勵在維多利亞州和塔斯馬尼亞州進行進一步的勘探。

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Treasury modelling released last year projected that the combined value of coal and gas exports would likely halve within five years as global demand for fossil fuels decelerates.

財政部去年發布的模型預測，隨著全球對化石燃料的需求減緩，煤炭和天然氣出口的總價值可能會在五年內減半。

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Were the government to align its policy with these projections, the Grattan Institute argued, Australia could accelerate its transition toward cleaner energy sources more effectively.

格拉坦研究所主張，若政府將其政策與這些預測保持一致，澳洲就能更有效地加速向更清潔能源的轉型。

Gas usage has peaked and is now in structural decline across Australia, report says澳洲天然氣時代告終：深入分析結構性衰退

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