C1350 字2:58新闻报道美国腔发布于 2026年8月31日 · 更新于 2026年8月31日

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Experts Warn That Artificial Intelligence Risks May Escalate Without Any Dramatic Warning Signs

專家警告，人工智慧的風險可能會在沒有任何顯著預警信號的情況下升級

A growing chorus of researchers and policy analysts has cautioned that the gravest threats posed by artificial intelligence may not arrive as a single catastrophic event.

越來越多的研究人員和政策分析師發出警告，指出人工智慧所帶來的最嚴重威脅，可能不會以單一毀滅性事件的形式呈現。

Doctor Simon Nieder, writing in response to a recent opinion piece by Timothy Garton Ash, argued that comparing AI risks to the Hiroshima bombing is fundamentally misleading.

西蒙·尼德博士在回應提摩西·加頓·艾許最近的一篇評論文章時指出，將人工智慧的風險比作廣島原子彈爆炸在根本上具有誤導性。

The atomic bomb, he emphasized, functioned precisely as its designers intended; human beings authorized and deployed it deliberately.

他強調，原子彈完全是按照其設計者的意圖發揮作用的；人類是深思熟慮後才對其進行授權並加以投擲的。

Artificial intelligence, by contrast, could generate emerging threats through incremental decisions that individually appear harmless yet collectively prove devastating.

相較之下，人工智慧可能會透過漸進式的決策產生新興威脅；這些決策單獨來看似乎無害，但合起來卻證實具有毀滅性。

Doctor Nieder identified several domains where risk management protocols should be established without delay.

尼德博士指出了幾個應毫不延誤地建立風險管理協定的領域。

An AI system might assist in designing a dangerous pathogen, expose vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure, or enhance weapons systems—all while human operators remain nominally in control.

人工智慧系統可能會協助設計危險的病原體、暴露關鍵基礎設施的漏洞，或是強化武器系統——而這一切都是在人類操作員名義上仍掌握控制權的情況下發生。

He warned that the real danger lies not in a sudden technological rebellion but in the gradual erosion of safeguards.

他警告說，真正的危險不在於突如其來的科技叛亂，而在於安全防護措施的逐漸削弱。

Were one safety measure to be removed here and another consequential task delegated there, the cumulative effect could prove irreversible before anyone recognized the severity of the situation.

倘若此處移除一項安全措施，彼處又委派另一項具重大影響的任務，其累積的效應可能在任何人意識到事態的嚴重性之前，就已證明是不可逆轉的。

#10

The letter also proposed a pragmatic starting point for global governance of artificial intelligence.

該信件還為人工智慧的全球治理提出了一個務實的起點。

#11

Rather than requiring nations to reach consensus on speculative scenarios such as superintelligence or human extinction, Doctor Nieder suggested that governments should first agree on concrete prohibitions.

尼德博士建議，各國政府應首先就具體的禁令達成共識，而不是要求各國對超人工智慧或人類滅絕等推測性情境達成共識。

#12

Weapons systems, critical infrastructure, and biological synthesis represent areas where AI ought never to operate autonomously, he contended.

他主張，武器系統、關鍵基礎設施以及生物合成是人工智慧絕不該自主運作的領域。

#13

Should international bodies establish minimum safeguards and mandate transparent records of human authorization, meaningful regulatory response would become achievable even amid geopolitical disagreements.

倘若國際機構能建立最低限度的安全保障，並強制規定人類授權的透明記錄，即使在地緣政治分歧之中，具實質意義的監管回應也將變得可行。

#14

Additional letters from Doctor Anthony Harris and David Kyler reinforced the urgency of coordinated international action.

來自安東尼·哈里斯博士和大衛·凱勒的其他信件，更加強了進行協調一致的國際行動之緊迫性。

#15

Both correspondents emphasized that by the time a visible crisis materializes, the most consequential decisions will likely already have been made.

兩位信件作者均強調，等到了顯而易見的危機爆發時，最關鍵的決定恐怕早已制定完畢。

#16

This perspective challenges the assumption that technological disasters necessarily manifest as singular, identifiable moments.

這種觀點挑戰了「科技災難必然會表現為單一、可識別的瞬間」這一假設。

#17

Instead, the contributors argued, the architecture of catastrophe is often assembled through routine choices that escape public scrutiny until the damage has become entrenched beyond remedy.

投稿者們主張，相反地，災難的結構往往是透過日常的選擇所建構起來的，這些選擇逃避了公眾的監督，直到損害已深固至無法挽回的地步。

片语表 (5 个片语)

片语包含类型标示、双语定义、用法说明和例句。

critical infrastructure

technical term

Physical and cyber systems and assets that are essential to the functioning of a society and economy.

關鍵基礎設施

解释： 指對國家安全、經濟運行與社會大眾生活至關重要的基礎設施系統，如電力網、自來水廠、金融與交通系統。在科技與人工智慧安全討論中常用此詞。

范例： Cyberattacks on critical infrastructure could disrupt power grids and communication networks nationwide.

global governance

technical term

The coordination among international actors to address issues that transcend national boundaries.

全球治理

解释： 指跨國政府、國際組織及非政府機構共同制定規則、標準以應對全球性問題（如氣候變遷、AI安全、跨國犯罪）的過程與框架。

范例： Effective global governance is required to handle international threats like pandemics and climate change.

reach consensus

collocation

To arrive at an agreement shared by all or most members of a group.

達成共識

解释： 常見的動名詞搭配，表示多方經討論後取得一致看法或協議。

范例： After hours of heated debate, committee members finally managed to reach consensus on the new safety rules.

nominally in control

collocation

In name only; possessing theoretical control while the actual power or decision-making rests elsewhere.

名義上掌控／名義上控制

解释： 「nominally」表示「名義上地」。此搭配強調某人或單位表面上有權力控制，但實質上控制力已被削弱或轉移。

范例： Although the manager is nominally in control of the project, key decisions are being made by the AI algorithms.

escape public scrutiny

collocation

To avoid being noticed, inspected, or criticized by the general public and media.

逃避公眾監督／未受到公眾審視

解释： 指某些政策、決定或行為在私下或日常常規中進行，未引起大眾或媒體的注意與檢視。

范例： Minor policy changes often escape public scrutiny until their long-term consequences become visible.

AI’s worst disasters will arrive unannounced

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