C1328 字2:45新闻报道美国腔发布于 2026年8月27日 · 更新于 2026年8月27日

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A landmark study published in the journal Science has established that human-caused climate change is dramatically intensifying El Niño weather patterns.

發表於《科學》期刊的一項里程碑式研究已經證實，人類活動引起的氣候變遷正在劇烈加劇聖嬰現象的天氣型態。

The scientific research, led by Julia Cole at the University of Michigan, reveals a troubling feedback loop between global warming and this cyclical phenomenon.

這項由密西根大學朱莉亞·柯爾領導的科學研究揭示，全球暖化與這種週期性現象之間存在著令人不安的反饋迴路。

Rather than merely amplifying existing temperature trends, fossil fuels are fundamentally altering the character of El Niño events themselves.

化石燃料不僅僅是放大了現有的氣溫趨勢，而是從根本上改變了聖嬰現象事件本身的特徵。

El Niño occurs naturally every two to seven years when waters in the eastern tropical Pacific warm considerably, triggering cascading effects worldwide.

每兩到七年，當東熱帶太平洋的水溫大幅上升時，聖嬰現象便會自然發生，並在全球引發連鎖效應。

The current event, informally dubbed the "Godzilla" El Niño, is projected to peak later this year and could prove the strongest in living memory.

目前這場聖嬰現象非正式地被稱為「哥吉拉」聖嬰現象，預計將在今年晚些時候達到高峰，並可能成為有記憶以來最強烈的一次。

"Were it not for the compounding influence of greenhouse gas emissions," scientists argue, "such extreme events would occur far less frequently."

科學家主張：「若非溫室氣體排放的加乘影響，此類極端事件發生的頻率將會低得多。」

Cole emphasized that the findings reveal a reciprocal relationship previously underappreciated by the scientific community.

柯爾強調，這些研究結果揭示了一種先前被科學界低估的互惠關係。

"Not only does El Niño supercharge global warming, but global warming in turn supercharges El Niño," she cautioned.

「聖嬰現象不僅加劇了全球暖化，全球暖化反過來也加劇了聖嬰現象，」她警告道。

This bidirectional intensification represents a significant departure from pre-industrial climate behaviour and signals an era of unprecedented climatic volatility.

這種雙向的加劇現象代表了與工業化前氣候行為的重大偏離，並預示著一個前所未有的氣候動盪時代的到來。

#10

The humanitarian implications are staggering.

人道主義方面的影響令人震驚。

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Analysts warn that the ongoing Godzilla event could push an estimated fifty million people into acute hunger before the end of next year.

分析師警告，正在持續進行的「哥吉拉」聖嬰現象事件可能會在明年底之前將預估五千萬人推入急性飢荒之中。

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Regions already grappling with food insecurity, particularly across sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia, stand to bear the brunt of erratic rainfall and prolonged droughts.

已經在努力應對糧食不安全問題的地區，特別是整個撒哈拉以南非洲和東南亞，很可能會首當其衝地遭受異常降雨和長期乾旱的衝擊。

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Should governments fail to implement robust preparedness measures, the resulting hunger crisis could dwarf previous emergencies in both scale and severity.

如果各國政府未能實施強有力的準備措施，隨之而來的飢荒危機在規模和嚴重程度上都可能使過往的緊急狀況相形見絀。

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Cole noted that the trend toward stronger El Niño events is neither coincidental nor a statistical anomaly.

柯爾指出，更強烈的聖嬰現象事件趨勢既非巧合，亦非統計上的異常現象。

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"The current event is consistent with a discernible pattern of escalation," she argued, adding that El Niño no longer resembles what it did prior to industrialisation.

「當前的事件與顯著加劇的模式吻合，」她主張道，並補充說聖嬰現象不再像工業化前那樣。

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With next year virtually certain to shatter global temperature records, the study underscores the urgency of curbing fossil fuel emissions to mitigate the compounding risks posed by climate change.

由於明年幾乎肯定會打破全球氣溫紀錄，該研究強調了遏制化石燃料排放以減緩氣候變遷所帶來的複合風險之緊迫性。

El Niño climate patterns supercharged by burning of fossil fuels, study finds

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El Niño is back with a vengeance – and fears of ‘Godzilla’ strength may be the least of our worries厄尔尼诺卷土重来——对“哥斯拉”级强度的担忧可能只是我们最不用担心的事

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